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Climate outlook for September to November

Spring is officially upon us and hayfever is not the only bad news, the Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal forecast doesn’t see a break in the drought anytime soon.

The spring (September to November) climate outlook, issued 30 August 2018, shows drier than average conditions are likely for southern Australia extending up through NSW (west of the divide) and into central Australia. September and October are likely to be drier than average more broadly across most of the country.

With clear skies likely, the risk of frost and cold nights continue in the south, but overall, warmer than average minimum temperatures are likely in many locations.

A drier and warmer than average spring would likely mean intensification of the existing drought conditions across parts of eastern Australia and an increase in bushfire potential.

A drier spring likely for large parts of Australia

Spring (September to November) is more likely to be drier than average for southwest WA, most of SA, the southern NT, inland NSW (west of the divide), Victoria, Tasmania, and northern Queensland. Elsewhere, there are roughly equal chances of a wetter or drier than average three months, meaning there is no strong indication either way that it will be particularly wet or dry.

September is likely to be drier than average in western WA, the Top End and eastern parts of the NT, Queensland, northeast NSW, most of Tasmania, and Victoria as well as adjacent areas across the border in NSW and SA.

Much of eastern and southern mainland Australia have experienced a very dry winter and start to the year, so an outlook with increased chances of drier conditions indicates areas currently experiencing drought are less likely to see significant respite in the coming three months.

Warmer spring days likely for Australia

The above average daytime temperatures that have occurred across Australia so far in 2018 are likely to continue.

Spring days are likely to be warmer than average for Australia.

With clear skies likely, the risk of frost and cold nights continue in the south, but overall, warmer than average minimum temperatures are likely in many locations.

 

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